Ligue 1 (France) predictions

Friday 16 October — 1 match

• 18:45 UTC Le Mans vs Toulouse — model 42% / 24% / 34%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.38 · 4.17 · 2.94. Evenly matched

Saturday 17 October — 3 matches

• 15:15 UTC Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain — model 24% / 23% / 53%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.17 · 4.35 · 1.89. Head-to-head record. One-sided: Paris Saint Germain
• 18:45 UTC Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 — model 57% / 24% / 19%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.75 · 4.17 · 5.26. Head-to-head record. Edge: Lille
• 18:45 UTC Estac Troyes vs Lens — model 19% / 23% / 58%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 5.26 · 4.35 · 1.72. Head-to-head record. One-sided: Lens

Sunday 18 October — 5 matches

• 13:00 UTC Angers vs Marseille — model 24% / 26% / 50%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.17 · 3.85 · 2.00. Head-to-head record. One-sided: Marseille
• 15:15 UTC Lorient vs Monaco — model 31% / 27% / 42%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.23 · 3.70 · 2.38. Head-to-head record. Edge: Monaco
• 15:15 UTC Le Havre vs Auxerre — model 41% / 29% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.45 · 3.33. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched
• 15:15 UTC Paris FC vs Rennes — model 53% / 24% / 23%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.89 · 4.17 · 4.35. Edge: Paris FC
• 18:45 UTC Lyon vs Nice — model 57% / 25% / 18%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.75 · 4.00 · 5.56. Head-to-head record. Edge: Lyon

Friday 23 October — 1 match

• 18:45 UTC Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice — model 48% / 26% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.08 · 3.85 · 3.85. Evenly matched

Saturday 24 October — 2 matches

• 15:15 UTC Toulouse vs Estac Troyes — model 61% / 22% / 17%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.64 · 4.55 · 5.88. One-sided: Toulouse
• 18:45 UTC Lens vs Paris FC — model 38% / 27% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 3.70 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach

Sunday 25 October — 6 matches

• 14:00 UTC Monaco vs Lille — model 39% / 28% / 33%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.57 · 3.03. Evenly matched
• 16:15 UTC Angers vs Lorient — model 30% / 29% / 41%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.33 · 3.45 · 2.44. Edge: Lorient
• 16:15 UTC Marseille vs Le Havre — model 56% / 25% / 19%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.79 · 4.00 · 5.26. Edge: Marseille
• 16:15 UTC Rennes vs Strasbourg — model 47% / 23% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.13 · 4.35 · 3.33. Evenly matched
• 16:15 UTC Auxerre vs Le Mans — model 38% / 25% / 37%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 4.00 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach
• 19:45 UTC Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon — model 56% / 24% / 20%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.79 · 4.17 · 5.00. Edge: Paris Saint Germain

Last round: the model's hits and misses

9–11 October: the model called the result of 6 of 9 matches, 2 of them to the exact score.

• Lens 2–1 Lyon — the model said 40% / 26% / 34%, most likely 2-1: exact scoreline.
• Lille 1–0 Le Havre — the model said 58% / 26% / 16%, most likely 1-0: exact scoreline.
• Stade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers — the model said 44% / 28% / 28%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• Lorient 1–0 Paris FC — the model said 27% / 28% / 45%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
• Monaco 2–2 Toulouse — the model said 60% / 21% / 19%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Le Mans — the model said 71% / 17% / 12%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Nice 2–1 Strasbourg — the model said 30% / 26% / 44%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
• Rennes 4–1 Auxerre — the model said 52% / 24% / 24%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Estac Troyes 0–2 Marseille — the model said 22% / 24% / 54%, most likely 1-2: result correct.