Serie A predictions

Friday 16 October — 1 match

• 18:45 UTC Frosinone vs Sassuolo — model 41% / 28% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.57 · 3.23. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched

Saturday 17 October — 3 matches

• 13:00 UTC Venezia vs Napoli — model 12% / 20% / 68%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 8.33 · 5.00 · 1.47. One-sided: Napoli
• 16:00 UTC Bologna vs Inter — model 19% / 24% / 57%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 5.26 · 4.17 · 1.75. Head-to-head record. One-sided: Inter
• 18:45 UTC AS Roma vs Genoa — model 69% / 20% / 11%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.45 · 5.00 · 9.09. Head-to-head record. One-sided: AS Roma

Sunday 18 October — 4 matches

• 10:30 UTC Udinese vs Lecce — model 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.57 · 4.17. Head-to-head record. Edge: Udinese
• 13:00 UTC Fiorentina vs Como — model 25% / 27% / 48%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.00 · 3.70 · 2.08. Head-to-head record. Edge: Como
• 16:00 UTC AC Milan vs Atalanta — model 41% / 29% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.45 · 3.33. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched
• 18:45 UTC Juventus vs Lazio — model 47% / 29% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.13 · 3.45 · 4.17. Head-to-head record. Edge: Juventus

Monday 19 October — 2 matches

• 16:30 UTC Monza vs Cagliari — model 30% / 27% / 43%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.33 · 3.70 · 2.33. Edge: Cagliari
• 18:45 UTC Parma vs Torino — model 32% / 31% / 37%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.13 · 3.23 · 2.70. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched

Friday 23 October — 1 match

• 18:45 UTC Torino vs Monza — model 46% / 25% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 4.00 · 3.45. Evenly matched

Saturday 24 October — 4 matches

• 13:00 UTC Cagliari vs Bologna — model 38% / 32% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.13 · 3.33. Evenly matched
• 13:00 UTC Como vs Sassuolo — model 53% / 26% / 21%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.89 · 3.85 · 4.76. Edge: Como
• 16:00 UTC Napoli vs AS Roma — model 30% / 29% / 41%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.33 · 3.45 · 2.44. Edge: AS Roma
• 18:45 UTC Lazio vs Parma — model 48% / 31% / 21%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.23 · 4.76. Edge: Lazio

Sunday 25 October — 5 matches

• 11:30 UTC Inter vs Fiorentina — model 65% / 20% / 15%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.54 · 5.00 · 6.67. One-sided: Inter
• 14:00 UTC Genoa vs Venezia — model 50% / 26% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.85 · 4.17. Edge: Genoa
• 14:00 UTC Atalanta vs Frosinone — model 46% / 28% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.57 · 3.85. Edge: Atalanta
• 17:00 UTC Lecce vs Juventus — model 16% / 26% / 58%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 6.25 · 3.85 · 1.72. One-sided: Juventus
• 19:45 UTC Udinese vs AC Milan — model 26% / 27% / 47%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.85 · 3.70 · 2.13. Edge: AC Milan

Tuesday 27 October — 3 matches

• 17:30 UTC Sassuolo vs Lazio — model 33% / 29% / 38%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.45 · 2.63. Evenly matched
• 19:45 UTC AS Roma vs Cagliari — model 59% / 26% / 15%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.69 · 3.85 · 6.67. One-sided: AS Roma
• 19:45 UTC Torino vs Como — model 23% / 26% / 51%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.35 · 3.85 · 1.96. One-sided: Como

Wednesday 28 October — 5 matches

• 17:30 UTC AC Milan vs Bologna — model 50% / 28% / 22%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.57 · 4.55. Edge: AC Milan
• 17:30 UTC Venezia vs Inter — model 8% / 14% / 78%, most likely 0-3, fair odds 12.50 · 7.14 · 1.28. One-sided: Inter
• 17:30 UTC Parma vs Udinese — model 30% / 31% / 39%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.33 · 3.23 · 2.56. Edge: Udinese
• 19:45 UTC Genoa vs Juventus — model 19% / 26% / 55%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 5.26 · 3.85 · 1.82. One-sided: Juventus
• 19:45 UTC Monza vs Napoli — model 17% / 22% / 61%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 5.88 · 4.55 · 1.64. One-sided: Napoli

Thursday 29 October — 2 matches

• 17:30 UTC Frosinone vs Lecce — model 50% / 28% / 22%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.57 · 4.55. Edge: Frosinone
• 19:45 UTC Fiorentina vs Atalanta — model 29% / 28% / 43%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.45 · 3.57 · 2.33. Edge: Atalanta

Last round: the model's hits and misses

10–12 October: the model called the result of 5 of 10 matches.

• Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina — the model said 30% / 28% / 42%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
• Inter 3–0 Parma — the model said 67% / 21% / 12%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• Napoli 3–0 Frosinone — the model said 43% / 29% / 28%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• Como 0–0 AS Roma — the model said 28% / 27% / 45%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
• Lazio 3–1 Monza — the model said 50% / 26% / 24%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Lecce 1–2 Bologna — the model said 30% / 31% / 39%, most likely 0-1: result correct.
• Sassuolo 1–1 AC Milan — the model said 26% / 27% / 47%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
• Cagliari 1–1 Juventus — the model said 24% / 30% / 46%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
• Atalanta 3–1 Venezia — the model said 66% / 21% / 13%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
• Torino 2–1 Udinese — the model said 35% / 27% / 38%, most likely 1-2: result missed.